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	<title>The Future of Self-Knowledge &#187; future_forecasting</title>
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	<description>The Future of Self-Knowledge: the thinking behind the FATE Institute</description>
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		<title>The Future of Self-Knowledge &#187; future_forecasting</title>
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		<title>Visiting Lecturers at the Singularity University or The Evangelists of the Singularity Order?</title>
		<link>http://gingery.wordpress.com/2009/07/20/visiting-lecturers-at-the-singularity-university-the-singularity-evangelists/</link>
		<comments>http://gingery.wordpress.com/2009/07/20/visiting-lecturers-at-the-singularity-university-the-singularity-evangelists/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2009 12:47:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jessica Charlesworth</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Being_ A_Futurist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[futurists]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[thinkers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future_forecasting]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;A number of exponentially growing technologies (biotechnology, supercomputing, nanotechnology, robotics, communications technologies and more.) are giving tools for change around the world. These technologies and sciences build on each other: a medical advance may rely on supercomputers, robotics, and sophisticated programs such as machine learning. Singularity University is an academic institution whose students and faculty [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=gingery.wordpress.com&blog=512597&post=1386&subd=gingery&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><div id="attachment_1397" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 425px"><img class="size-full wp-image-1397" title="STORUS1" src="http://gingery.files.wordpress.com/2009/07/storus1.jpg?w=415&#038;h=323" alt="The NASA Ames is the campus for SingularityU, would it ever become part of the 'Stanford Torus' (by Donald Davis) ?" width="415" height="323" /><p class="wp-caption-text">The NASA Ames is the campus for SingularityU, would it ever become part of the &#39;Stanford Torus&#39; (by Donald Davis) ?</p></div>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;A number of exponentially growing technologies (biotechnology, supercomputing, nanotechnology, robotics, communications technologies and more.) are giving tools for change around the world. These technologies and sciences build on each other: a medical advance may rely on supercomputers, robotics, and sophisticated programs such as machine learning. Singularity University is an academic institution whose students and faculty will study these technologies, with an emphasis on their interactions.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/amara-d-angelica/">Angelica, Amara D.</a>, Academic Model/Curriculum Lead, Singularity University<a href="http://www.soniaarrison.com/"> Arrison, Sonia</a>, Senior Fellow, Pacific Research Institute<a href="http://www.jsc.nasa.gov/Bios/htmlbios/barry.html"> Barry, Dan</a>, President, Denbar Robotics, former NASA astronaut<a href="http://www.henrikbennetsen.com/"> Bennetsen, Henrik</a>, Assoc Dir, Stanford Humanities Lab, Stanford University <a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/sarah-black/">Black, Sarah</a>, Kurzweil Liaison, Singularity University <a href="http://www.ideo.com/">Blakely, Dave</a>, Director of Technology Strategy, IDEO <a href="http://howardbloom.net/">Bloom, Howard</a>, Author, <em>The Lucifer Principle</em>, and <em>Global Brain</em><a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/dr-chris-boshuizen/">Boshuizen, Chris</a>, Project/Events Planning Lead, Singularity University<a href="http://www.stanford.edu/dept/MSandE/people/faculty/byers/index.html">Byers, Tom</a>, Prof, Stanford Univ; Stanford Technology Ventures Program <a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/troy-byrd/">Byrd, Troy</a>, Education/Business Development, Singularity University <a href="http://www.globalfuturist.com/">Canton, James</a>, CEO and Chairman of the Institute for Global Futures <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vinton_Cerf">Cerf, Vint</a>, Vice President and Chief Internet Evangelist, Google Inc.<a href="http://www.damer.com/">Damer, Bruce</a>, Founder CEO, DigitalSpace; Dir The Contact Consortium<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/jim-dator/">Dator, Jim</a>, Prof &amp; Dir of the Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/yves-debat">Debat, Yves</a>, Monterey Institute of International Studies<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aubrey_de_Grey">de Grey, Aubrey</a>, Chair &amp; Chief Science Officer of the Methuselah Foundation<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christopher_deCharms">deCharms, Christopher</a>, Founder, Omneuron, Inc.<a href="http://singularityu.org/about/board-of-trustees/dr-peter-diamandis/">Diamandis, Peter</a>, Founder, X PRIZE Foundation<a href="http://sites.google.com/a/dibona.com/dibona-wiki/">DiBona, Chris</a>, Open Source Program Manager, Google Inc.<a href="http://www.econ.ucsb.edu/cgi-bin/faculty.cgi?f=ebenstein">Ebenstein, Lanny </a>, Professor, UC Santa Barbara<a href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/kevine">Epstein, Kevin</a>, Executive in Residence, Mohr Davidow Ventures<a href="http://www.fourhourworkweek.com/blog/about">Ferriss, Timothy</a>, Author, <em>The 4-Hour Workweek</em><a href="http://quest.nasa.gov/projects/spacewardbound/atacama2006/bios/Lauren_Fletcher.html">Fletcher, Lauren</a>, Engineer, Astrobiology, NASA Ames Research Center<a href="http://singularityu.org/about/management/susan-fonseca-klein">Fonseca-Klein, Susan</a>, VP of Operations, Singularity University<a href="http://www.linkedin.com/pub/daniel-ford/0/608/764">Ford, Daniel</a>, Senior Mathematician, Google Inc.<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Freitas">Freitas, Robert. A., Jr</a>, Sr Research Fellow, Inst for Molecular Manufacturing</p>
<p><span id="more-1386"></span></p>
<p><a href="http://www.climatecooler.com/about/team">Gelobter, Michel</a>, Founder, Cooler Inc; former Pres, Redefining Progress<a href="http://www.millennium-project.org/millennium/resume/jglenn.html">Glenn, Jerome C.</a>, Director, The Millennium Project<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ben_Goertzel">Goertzel, Ben</a>, Founder, Novamente LLC; Dir of Research, Singularity Inst<a href="http://www.crossroadsvc.com/aboutUs.html">Goldberg, Robert</a>, Managing Director, Crossroads Ventures<a href="http://grossmanwellness.com/about-dr-grossman.php">Grossman, Terry</a>, Founder and Medical Director of Grossman Wellness Center<a href="http://autogeny.org/">Hall, J Storrs</a>, Pres, Foresight Inst; Author, <em>Beyond AI</em> &amp; <em>Nanofuture</em><a href="http://www.cbse.ucsc.edu/staff/haussler.shtml">Haussler, David</a>, Professor, Biomolecular Engineering, UC Santa Cruz<a href="http://www.linkedin.com/pub/4/4b0/290">Hessel, Andrew</a>, Open source biology, Founding Dir, Pink Army Cooperative<a href="http://hodder.org/">Hodder, Mary</a>, Founder of Dabble<a href="http://www.jsc.nasa.gov/Bios/htmlbios/hoffman.html">Hoffman, Jeffrey</a>, MIT Professor of Aerospace Engineering, former NASA Astronaut<a href="http://singularityu.org/about/management/salim-ismail/">Ismail, Salim</a>, Executive Director, Singularity University<a href="http://www.imm.org/about/jacobstein/">Jacobstein, Neil</a>, CEO, Teknowledge; Media X Prog, Stanford Univ<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/donald-james/">James, Donald</a>, Project Manager, International Space University<a href="http://www.copenhagenclimatecouncil.com/about-us/councillors/daniel-m-kammen.html">Kammen, Dan</a>, Co-director, Berkeley Institute of the Environment<a href="http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/um/redmond/events/fs2007/bios.aspx">Karkanias, Jim</a>, Senior Director, Applied Research and Technology, Microsoft<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rohit_Khare">Khare, Rohit</a>, Former Director of CommerceNet Labs; Founder, Ångströ Inc.<a href="http://med.stanford.edu/profiles/Stuart_Kim/">Kim, Stuart</a>, Professor, Developmental Biology, Stanford University<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/keith-kleiner/">Kleiner, Keith</a>, Associate Founder, Singularity University<a href="http://med.stanford.edu/profiles/Daniel_Kraft/">Kraft, Daniel</a>, Instructor, Cancer/Stem Cell Biology Institute, Stanford University<a href="http://singularityu.org/about/board-of-trustees/dr-ray-kurzweil/">Kurzweil, Ray</a>, Founder, Kurzweil Technologies, Inc.<a href="http://hcr3.isiknowledge.com/author.cgi?&amp;link1=Search&amp;link2=Search%20Results&amp;AuthLastName=langhoff&amp;AuthFirstName=&amp;AuthMiddleName=&amp;AuthMailnstName=&amp;CountryID=-1&amp;DisciplineID=0&amp;id=3452">Langhoff, Stephanie</a>, Chief Scientist, NASA Ames Research Center<a href="http://www.innovarium.net/">Lee, Burton</a>, Faculty, European Entrepreneurship &amp; Innovation at Stanford<a href="http://www.lensventures.com/team.html">Lemmey, Tara</a> is the CEO of LENS Ventures<a title="The Nanoethics Group" href="http://www.nanoethics.org/">Lin, Patrick</a>, Director, The Nanoethics Group<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Linksvayer">Linksvayer, Mike</a>, Vice President of Creative Commons<a href="http://cmil.west.cmu.edu/people/lohn_j.htm">Lohn, Jason</a>, Senior Research Scientist, Carnegie Mellon University<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/dr-william-marshall/">Marshall, William</a>, Academic Model/Curriculum Lead, Singularity University<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/gary-martin/">Martin, Gary</a>, Director, New Ventures &amp; Communications, NASA Ames<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ralph_Merkle">Merkle, Ralph</a>, Senior Research Fellow, Institute for Molecular Manufacturing<a href="http://www.almaden.ibm.com/cs/people/dmodha">Modha, Dharmendra</a>, Manager, Cognitive Computing, IBM Almaden<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Metcalfe">Metcalfe, Bob</a>, General Partner, Polaris Venture Partners<a href="http://ma.tt/">Mullenweg, Matt</a>, Founder, WordPress and Automattic<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/kathryn-myronuk/">Myronuk, Kathryn</a>, Library and Knowledge Resources, Singularity University<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Norvig">Norvig, Peter</a>, Director of Research, Google Inc.<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/david-orban/">Orban, David</a>, Founder &amp; Chief Evangelist at WideTag, Inc. (OpenSpime)<a href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/sunilpaul">Paul, Sunil</a>, Founding Partner at Spring Ventures<a href="http://foresight.org/about/Peterson.html">Peterson, Christine</a>, Vice President, Foresight Institute<a href="http://www.paradigmventures.com/management.html">Potter, Michael</a>, Director, Paradigm Ventures<a href="http://curetogether.com/blog/about/team/">Reda, Daniel</a>, Co-Founder, CureTogether<a href="http://www.rr.cs.cmu.edu/">Reddy, Raj</a>, Prof of Computer Science &amp; Robotics, Carnegie Mellon Univ<a href="http://www.robertdrichards.com/">Richards, Robert</a>, Founder, Odyssey Moon Limited<a href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/davidsrose">Rose, David S.</a>, CEO Angelsoft, Managing Principal, Rose Tech Ventures<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/matt-rutherford/">Rutherford, Matt</a>, Media Producer, Singularity University<a href="http://www.saffo.com/aboutps/index.php">Saffo, Paul</a>, Visiting Scholar in the Stanford Media X research network<a href="http://singularityu.org/about/board-of-trustees/dr-michael-simpson-2/">Simpson, Michael</a>, President, International Space University<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Larry_Smarr">Smarr, Larry</a>, Dir, CA Inst for Telecommunications &amp; Information Tech<a href="http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html">Smart, John</a>, Founder &amp; President, Acceleration Studies Foundation<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Smoot">Smoot, George</a>, University of California, Berkeley; 2006 Nobel Prize in Physics<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/christopher-stott/">Stott, Christopher</a>, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of ManSat LLC<a href="http://www.mintz.com/people.php?BioID=509">Taylor, Robert</a>, Mintz, Levin, Cohn, Ferris, Glovsky and Popeo, PC<a href="http://robots.stanford.edu/">Thrun, Sebastian</a>, Prof of Computer Science and Dir, AI Laboratory at Stanford<a href="http://www.ileonardo.com/notebook/630141_/Gigaton%20Throwdown">Tomkins, Claire </a>, Project Manager: Gigaton Throwdown<a href="http://elgg.org/">Tosh, David</a>, Co-Founder of Elgg<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/dr-james-tracy/">Tracy, James</a>, Educational Consultant, Singularity University<a href="http://www.natasha.cc/">Vita-More, Natasha</a>, PhD cand, U of Plymouth; Vis Scholar, 21st Century Medicine<a href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/danwhaley">Whaley, Dan</a>, Founder and CEO, Climos<a href="http://singularityu.org/advisory/dr-s-pete-worden/">Worden, Pete</a>, Director, NASA Ames Research Center<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Will_Wright_%28game_designer%29">Wright, Will</a>, Creator: SimCity, Spore; Founder, Maxis (Electronic Arts)</p>
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		<title>Thoughts on design + futures:   design = futures?</title>
		<link>http://gingery.wordpress.com/2009/02/01/thoughts-on-design-futures/</link>
		<comments>http://gingery.wordpress.com/2009/02/01/thoughts-on-design-futures/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Feb 2009 16:40:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jessica Charlesworth</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future_forecasting]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[From Alex Soojung-Kim Pang recent blogessay &#8220;thoughts on design + futures&#8221;, he discusses the importance of design in discussing futures, this validates exactly how i see design is a tool to debate, discuss, create and influence what happens next through very visually inspiring and disturbing means. Design has always been about planning the next step [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=gingery.wordpress.com&blog=512597&post=906&subd=gingery&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>From <a href="http://askpang.typepad.com/relevant_history/2009/01/thoughts-on-design-futures.html" target="_blank">Alex Soojung-Kim Pang recent blogessay &#8220;thoughts on design + futures&#8221;</a>, he discusses the importance of design in discussing futures, this validates exactly how i see design is a tool to debate, discuss, create and influence what happens next through very visually inspiring and disturbing means. Design has always been about planning the next step and making it tangible and design research is constantly evolving in response to exploring ways we understand, visualise, prepare and react to possible, plausible and probable futures. Depending on the design tools that have been learnt (eg. <a href="http://www.interaction.rca.ac.uk/" target="_blank">MA Design Interactions, RCA</a>), a designer can create parallel scenarios/worlds/futures/mental models and depending on how empathetic they are to imagining peoples actions/reactions they can then imagine the implications of new services, systems, products and platforms within these future worlds. Depending on the design approach, it is fundamental to how we  make decisions as a collective or help facilitate decision making to provoke the darkest and the lightest of approaches to our futures.</p>
<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;To create a futures appropriate for the 21st century and its challenges, we futurists don&#8217;t have to become designers, any more than we have to be printers or graphic artists today. But we do need to learn some of the tools of design, learn from designers how to study people&#8217;s interactions with technologies, and pay attention to how people create mental models and imaginary worlds through things. In exchange, we can contribute to the design of things that make the world and the future more comprehensible, and better.&#8221; </em><a href="http://www.iftf.org/user/17" target="_blank">Alex Soojung-Kim Pang</a></p></blockquote>
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		<title>High Anxieties: The Mathematics of Chaos</title>
		<link>http://gingery.wordpress.com/2008/10/20/high-anxieties-the-mathematics-of-chaos/</link>
		<comments>http://gingery.wordpress.com/2008/10/20/high-anxieties-the-mathematics-of-chaos/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Oct 2008 22:21:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jessica Charlesworth</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[forecasting]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[High Anxieties: The Mathematics of Chaos was an ace bbc4 doc that was on last week and shown at just the right time in amidst the economic MELTDOWN that is all around us!! David Malone has put together a film about the    mathematics of chaos , why things happen the way the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=gingery.wordpress.com&blog=512597&post=686&subd=gingery&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b00dzypr/High_Anxieties_The_Mathematics_of_Chaos/" target="_blank">High Anxieties: The Mathematics of Chaos </a>was an ace bbc4 doc that was on last week and shown at just the right time in amidst the economic MELTDOWN that is all around us!! <a href="http://www.becauseyouthink.tv/directors/detail.asp?dID=3" target="_blank">David Malone</a> has put together a film about the    mathematics of chaos , why things happen the way the do and can they be predicted with a model? From the mechanicalreliability of Newtonian theory,    through the shock of the Great Depression and the rise of equilibrium theory  to chaos    theory, which suggests that we are roller-skating in the dark, with no idea    of when we&#8217;ll hit the one-in-three downward slope that lies somewhere ahead    of us.</p>
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		<title>The Fourth Quadrant: A map of the limits of statistics by Nassim Taleb</title>
		<link>http://gingery.wordpress.com/2008/09/22/the-fourth-quadrant-a-map-of-the-limits-of-statistics-by-nassim-taleb/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Sep 2008 10:00:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jessica Charlesworth</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[books]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Random Walk—Characterized by volatility. You only find these in textbooks and in essays on probability by people who have never really taken decisions under uncertainty.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the man who wrote of the black swans, the highly improbable and unpredictable events that have massive impact, has recently written an essay for EDGE about how those [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=gingery.wordpress.com&blog=512597&post=624&subd=gingery&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><div id="attachment_627" class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 336px"><a href="http://gingery.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/image016.png"><img class="size-full wp-image-627" title="image016" src="http://gingery.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/image016.png?w=326&#038;h=202" alt="RANDOM WALK" width="326" height="202" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">RANDOM WALK</p></div>
<h5><span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"><em>Random Walk—Characterized by volatility. You only find these in textbooks and in essays on probability by people who have never really taken decisions under uncertainty.</em></span></h5>
<p>Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the man who wrote of the black swans, the highly improbable and unpredictable events that have massive impact, has recently written an essay for EDGE about how those who are putting society at risk are &#8220;no true statisticians&#8221;, but merely people using statistics either without understanding them, or in a self-serving manner. its entitled THE FOURTH QUADRANT: A MAP OF THE LIMITS OF STATISTICS and can be found on the <a href="http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb08/taleb08_index.html" target="_blank">EDGE site here&gt;</a></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="font-size:x-small;font-family:Verdana,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"><em>Statistical and applied probabilistic knowledge is the core of knowledge; statistics is what tells you if something is true, false, or merely anecdotal; it is the &#8220;logic of science&#8221;; it is the instrument of risk-taking; it is the applied tools of epistemology; you can&#8217;t be a modern intellectual and not think probabilistically—but&#8230; let&#8217;s not be suckers. The problem is much more complicated than it seems to the casual, mechanistic user who picked it up in graduate school. Statistics can fool you. In fact it is fooling your government right now. It can even bankrupt the system (let&#8217;s face it: use of probabilistic methods for the estimation of risks did just blow up the banking system).</em></span></p>
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		<title>Exploratree Thinking Tools by futurelab + microsoft</title>
		<link>http://gingery.wordpress.com/2008/04/16/thinking-tools-by-exploratree/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Apr 2008 16:57:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jessica Charlesworth</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[decision_making]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Those clever chaps at Futurelab have created a beta online tool that enables people to think visually! Think of all those mind maps you have done in the past that have been completely disorganized and free form. But with exploratree they will help you create frameworks for futures wheel (my favourite), a compass rose (!) [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=gingery.wordpress.com&blog=512597&post=448&subd=gingery&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>Those clever chaps at <a href="http://www.exploratree.org.uk/" target="_blank">Futurelab</a> have created a beta online tool that enables people to think visually! Think of all those mind maps you have done in the past that have been completely disorganized and free form. But with exploratree they will help you create frameworks for futures wheel (my favourite), a compass rose (!) and a pmi!!</p>
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