“Scenarios are a tool for helping us to take a long view in a world of great uncertainty. The name comes from the theatrical term “scenario” – the script for a film or play. Scenarios are stories about they way the world might turn out tomorrow, stories that can help us recognize and adapt to changing aspects of our present environment. In a coporate context the precise definition of scenario is a tool for ordering one’s perceptions about alternative future environments in which one’s decisions might be played out. It is a set of organized ways for us to dream effectively about our own future.Concretely they resemble a set of stories, whether written out, or spoken (or visualised). They are built around carefully constructed “plots” that make the significant elements of the world scene stand out of wordly. Scenarios are not predictions. It is simpy not possible to predict the future with certainty. Scenarios are vehicles for helping people learn. Unlike traditional business forecasting or market research, they present alternative images of the future; they do not merely extrapolate the trends of the present.” – The Art of the Long View by Peter Schwartz
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ABOUT THIS BLOG
“The Future of Self-Knowledge” research blog encompasses the techniques and methodologies used in corporate horizon scanning & forecasting, and their counterparts in ancient divination practices and the rise in personal genome services.
This research is used as a platform to develop personalised futures techniques for The FATE Institute (The Futures Association for Therapy & Entertainment), a think tank dedicated to developing personalised foresight services and products.
Posts on this site will capture thoughts, experiments and current areas of interest in relation to speculative and personal futures.
My other websites: www.jessicacharlesworth.com
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