Ray Kurzweil is giving himself a high B. With his recent essay “How My Predictions Are Faring” the noted futurist reviews forecasts he made more than a decade ago for our current times. His predicted future is now the present, so it’s time to see how he did. The report looks at 147 predictions that Kurzweil made in his 1999 book The Age of Spiritual Machines, and goes on to briefly explore comments in The Age of Intelligent Machines (1990) as well as his more recent The Singularity is Near (2005). Of the 147 predictions Kurzweil maintains that 115 were ‘entirely correct’, 12 ‘essentially correct’, and 17 ‘partially correct, with just 3 being outright wrong. Counting only the entirely and essentially correct, Kurzweil claims an accuracy of 86%.
• contact [at] jessicacharlesworth.com
ABOUT THIS BLOG
“The Future of Self-Knowledge” research blog encompasses the techniques and methodologies used in corporate horizon scanning & forecasting, and their counterparts in ancient divination practices and the rise in personal genome services.
This research is used as a platform to develop personalised futures techniques for The FATE Institute (The Futures Association for Therapy & Entertainment), a think tank dedicated to developing personalised foresight services and products.
Posts on this site will capture thoughts, experiments and current areas of interest in relation to speculative and personal futures.
My other websites: www.jessicacharlesworth.com
The FATE Institute
themesactivism architecture artists autosuggestion belief systems books cults datamining decision_making definitions delicious design design interactions design_futures divination dna doppelganger eccentric esoteric exhibitions experiments experts extracts fact/fiction/fact FATE INSTITUTE forecasting future futures future_forecasting futurists futurology genetics identity memory mentalism methods microtrend miscellaneous obesity open_source personal genome PGD pgt photography plain weird precognition predictions predictive gene testing prescience products pseudoscience quasi rca scenarios science fiction scientists self-help self-knowledge sequencing service design services societies statistics storytelling tackling obesities talks therapy thinkers thoughts tools Uncategorized values video visualization writers
other online portals